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| October 2013 |
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Read the IMF's newly released global economic analyses
and forecasts FREE in the IMF eLibrary. The IMF forecasts global growth to
average 2.9 percent in 2013—below the 3.2 percent recorded in 2012—and to rise
to 3.6 percent in 2014. Much of the pickup in growth is expected to be driven
by advanced economies. Growth in major emerging markets, although still strong,
is expected to be weaker than the IMF forecast in its earlier forecast in July
2013. These transitions create
challenges for the global financial system and for economies seeking to
stabilize their budgets and keep government debt at manageable levels. The IMF’s flagship reports, the
World Economic Outlook, Global Financial Stability
Report, and Fiscal Monitor, are all available for download from the IMF
eLibrary. You can also order print editions of these and the IMF's Regional
Economic Outlook reports from your local stockists or from Amazon, CNPIEC and
other retailers.
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 Read the IMF's Flagship Reports FREE in the IMF eLibrary
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World Economic Outlook, October 2013: Transitions and Tensions
Global growth is in low gear, and the drivers of activity are changing. These dynamics raise new policy challenges. Advanced economies are growing again but must continue financial sector repair, pursue fiscal consolidation, and spur job growth. Emerging market economies face the dual challenges of slowing growth and tighter global financial conditions. This issue of the World Economic Outlook examines the potential spillovers from these transitions and the appropriate policy responses.
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Watch Press Briefing |
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Global Financial Stability Report, October 2013: Transition Challenges to Stability
The October 2013 edition examines current risks facing the global financial system as it undergoes a series of transitions along the path toward greater financial stability. The United States may soon move to less accommodative monetary policies and higher long-term interest rates as its recovery gains ground. Emerging markets face a transition to more volatile external conditions and higher risk premiums. Japan is moving toward the new “Abenomics” policy regime, and the euro area is moving toward a more robust and safer financial sector. Finally, the global banking system is phasing in stronger regulatory standards.
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Fiscal Monitor, October 2013: Taxing Times
Persistently high debt ratios in advanced economies and emerging fragilities in the developing world cast clouds on the global fiscal landscape. In advanced economies, with narrowing budget deficits, the average public debt ratio is expected to stabilize in 2013–14—but it will be at a historic peak. Strengthening fiscal balances and buttressing confidence remain at the top of the policy agenda. Against that backdrop, this issue explores whether and how tax reform can help strengthen public finances.
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Just Released: IMF Annual Report 2013
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IMF Annual Report 2013: Promoting a More Secure and Stable Global Economy
The IMF's 2013 Annual Report chronicles the response of the institution's Executive Board and staff to the global financial crisis and other events during financial year 2013, which covers the period from May 1, 2012, through April 30, 2013. The print version of the report is available in eight languages (Arabic, Chinese, English, French, German, Japanese, Russian, and Spanish), along with a CD-ROM (available in English only) that includes the report text and ancillary materials, including the IMF's Financial Statements for FY2013.
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Regional Economic Outlook Reports: Pre-order in the IMF Bookstore
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Regional Economic Outlook: Sub-Saharan Africa, October 2013
The October 2013 Regional Economic Outlook: Sub-Saharan Africa provides a comprehensive report on the prospects for growth in the region, as well as the major risks to the outlook. Generally, growth is expected to remain strong despite a downward revision since the May 2013 report. The report analyzes drivers of growth in nonresource-rich sub-Saharan African countries, and examines the risks to frontier market economies of volatile capital flows as they become more integrated with international capital markets.
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Pre-order French print edition |
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Regional Economic Outlook, Middle East and Central Asia, November 2013
The near-term economic outlook for the Middle East region has weakened. Difficult political transitions and increased regional uncertainties weigh on confidence in the oil-importing countries. Growth in these countries remains well below the levels necessary to reduce high unemployment and improve living standards. Meanwhile, in the oil-exporting countries, weak global demand and domestic supply disruptions have reduced oil production, notwithstanding recent upward pressure arising from increased geopolitical risks. Medium-term economic prospects are clouded by rising fiscal vulnerabilities, declining productivity, and fragmented labor markets. Although economic activity in the Caucasus and Central Asia continues to expand at a fast pace, risks are also on the rise, including a further slowdown in Russia and China and unaddressed structural impediments.
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| Recommended Reading from IMF Program of Seminars 2013 |
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Program of Seminars 2013 - Recommended Reading
This Recommended Reading booklet was developed to meet the information needs of the attendees of the World Bank Group (WBG) and International Monetary Fund (IMF) Annual Meetings by highlighting resources from the IMF, the World Bank Group, and other public sources. The publication offers a bibliography of current research from the IMF, the WBG, central banks, and other international financial institutions (IFIs) and organizations, together with additional background information on the economic and financial challenges confronting the world today. The booklet covers the most recent materials written on each of the IMF's Program of Seminars topics. When possible, links to the full text of a document have been included. Many of the publications are publicly available and may be accessed electronically from the websites of the WBG and the IMF. Due to intellectual property rights requirements, some material is only available commercially or through university or other local libraries.
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